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What are the swing states? View polls and past results from 7 key states


What are the swing states? View polls and past results from 7 key states

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With just over a week until November 5, all eyes are on seven states that are expected to decide the 2024 presidential election.

Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are cycling through these battleground states, holding rallies, giving interviews and bringing along celebrities to convince any remaining undecided voters and mobilize their supporters.

National and state polls alike show an incredibly close race. This means that a narrow voter margin in these states could have big consequences for the Electoral College.

Here's what you should know about the battleground states: Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada and Arizona.

  • 2016 presidential election results: Trump defeated Hillary Clinton 51% to 45.9%.
  • 2020 presidential election results: Joe Biden beat Trump 49.5% to 49.3%

Here are some recent surveys conducted in Georgia, along with the date they were conducted, sample size, and their margin of error.

  • Marist: Trump 49%, Harris 49%, (Oct. 17-22; 1,193 likely voters; margin of error: ±3.9 percentage points)
  • Bloomberg: Trump 49.9%, Harris 48.4% (Oct. 16-20; 855 likely voters; margin of error: ±3 percentage points)
  • 2016 presidential election results: Trump beat Clinton 50.5% to 46.8%
  • 2020 presidential election results: Trump defeated Biden 50.1% to 48.7%

Here are some recent polls in North Carolina, along with when they were conducted, sample size, and margin of error:

  • Marist poll: Trump 50%, Harris 48% (Oct. 17-22; 1,226 likely voters; margin of error ±3.6 percentage points)
  • Emerson: Trump 50%, Harris 48% (Oct. 21-22; 950 likely voters; margin of error ±3.1 percentage points)
  • 2016 presidential election results: Trump beat Clinton 48.6% to 47.9%
  • 2020 presidential election results: Biden beat Trump 50% to 48.8%

Here are some recent polls in Pennsylvania, along with when they were conducted, sample size, and margin of error:

  • Emerson: Trump 49%, Harris 48% (Oct. 21-22; 860 likely voters; margin of error ±3.3 percentage points)
  • Bloomberg: Trump 48%, Harris 50% (Oct. 16-20; 812 likely voters; ±3 percentage points.)
  • 2016 presidential election results: Trump beat Clinton 47.6% to 47.4%
  • 2020 presidential election results: Biden beat Trump 50.6% to 47.8%

Here are some recent polls in Michigan, along with when they were conducted, sample size, and margin of error:

  • Quinnipiac: Trump 46%, Harris 49% (Oct. 17-21; 1,136 likely voters; margin of error ± 2.9 percentage points)
  • Bloomberg: Trump 46.5% Harris 49.6% (Oct. 16-20; 705 likely voters; margin of error ±4 percentage points.)
  • 2016 presidential election results: Trump beat Clinton 47.8% to 47%
  • 2020 presidential election results: Biden beat Trump 49.6% to 48.9%

Here are some recent polls in Wisconsin, along with when they were conducted, sample size, and margin of error:

  • USA TODAY/Suffolk University: Trump 48%, Harris 47% (Oct. 20-23, 500 likely voters, margin of error ±4.4 percentage points).
  • Emerson: Trump 49%, Harris 48%: (Oct. 21-22; 800 likely voters; margin of error ±3.4 percentage points)
  • 2016 presidential election results: Clinton beat Trump 47.9% to 45.5%
  • 2020 presidential election results: Biden beat Trump 50.1% to 47.7%

Here are some recent polls in Nevada, along with when they were conducted, sample size, and margin of error:

  • Bloomberg: Harris 48.8%, Trump 48.3% (Oct. 16-26; 420 likely voters; margin of error ±5 percentage points)
  • AtlasIntel: Harris 48%, Trump 48% (Oct. 12-17; 1,171 likely voters; margin of error ±3 percentage points)

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  • 2016 presidential election results: Trump beat Clinton 49% to 45.5%
  • 2020 presidential election results: Biden beat Trump 49.4% to 49.1%

Here are some recent polls in Arizona, along with when they were conducted, sample size, and margin of error:

  • Marist: Trump 50%, Harris 49% (Oct. 17-22; 1,193 likely voters; margin of error ± 3.7 percentage points)
  • Bloomberg: Trump 49%, Harris 49% (Oct. 16-20; 861 likely voters; margin of error ±3 percentage points)

Kinsey Crowley is a featured news reporter at USA TODAY. Reach her at [email protected] and follow her on X and TikTok @kinseycrowley.

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