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The best college football bets for Penn State vs. Wisconsin in Week 9


The best college football bets for Penn State vs. Wisconsin in Week 9

Week 9 Big Ten play concludes in Madison, Wisconsin, as undefeated Penn State heads to Camp Randall Stadium to take on the surging Badgers.

Wisconsin has enjoyed a good run of Big Ten games, but is it overrated on offense after a loose schedule? The team has relied on running back Tawee Walker, but can he be trusted to surpass his rushing yards total?

We'll discuss his player support as well as Drew Allar's total pass yards below!

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

Drew Allar over 209.5 passing yards

I'm not convinced this Wisconsin defense is anything special compared to what we expect from the Badgers.

The two teams Wisconsin has played in the top 50 in EPA/Play this season, Alabama and USC, edged out the Badgers for the lead with 38 or more points.

While the Badgers' defensive stats against the pass are strong, I believe a lot of that is scheduling-related and that this slump Allar has to overcome is well within reason.

Penn State's offense relies on its running backs to provide a good forward attack, but we've seen Allar's ability to push the ball down the field when called upon as the team incredibly efficient through the air and is fourth in EPA/Pass.

The clock will be ticking in this game as Penn State is outside the top 100 in seconds per game, but against an overrated Wisconsin secondary, I believe Allar can exceed that mark, which he has done in four of six games this season.

Tawee Walker UNDER 80.5 rushing yards

Walker has taken the lead on Wisconsin's defense after Chez Mellusi left due to injury midway through the season.

However, it's time to trade Walker against a stingy Penn State defensive front.

The Nittany Lions are as good as it gets when it comes to defending the run this season: They are third in defensive line yards, sixth in EPA/Rush and 15th in yards per carry allowed.

With the emergence of Braedyn Locke at center pushing the ball down the field, I expect this to be the point of attack for the Wisconsin offense as the team struggles to establish the run.

Yes, Walker ran for 198 yards against Rutgers and 126 against Northwestern two weeks ago, but the Badgers won by a total of 55 points. In an expected negative game script, I'm not sure Walker is capable of getting around 20 carries.

The game odds are updated regularly and are subject to change.

Follow Reed on Twitter @ReedWallach for all of his college football betting betstamp @rw33

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