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TD Fourteen Tracker: Spaghetti, Skittles and more


TD Fourteen Tracker: Spaghetti, Skittles and more

From Jonathan Belles

less than an hour ago

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Tropical Depression Fourteen will soon threaten the Florida peninsula as a hurricane, likely named Milton.

Here you can track the winds, the forecast cone of uncertainty, spaghetti models and more.

For the latest full forecast on the new system, click here.

Current information

satellite

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radar

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Current forecasts

Forecast cone of uncertainty

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(The red shaded area shows the potential track of the center of the tropical cyclone. It is important to note that for any tropical cyclone, impacts (particularly heavy rain, high surf, coastal flooding, winds) typically extend beyond the forecast track spread.)

Spaghetti models

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Model tracks

(The lines in this graphic represent several of the many route predictions from various computer models. This is not an official forecast, but they are intended as a guide in creating the predicted path.)

Predicted Threats

Precipitation forecast

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(This should be interpreted as a general outlook on where the heaviest rain could fall and shift based on the tropical cyclone's forecast path. Higher amounts may occur if rain bands stall over a period of a few hours.)

Arrival and probability of arrival of tropical storm force winds

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Environmental conditions

Ocean heat content

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(This map shows areas not only of warm water, but also of warm, deep water, which is an ingredient for developing and active tropical cyclones.)

Wind shear

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(Areas of clouds are shown in white. Areas of high wind shear, the difference in wind speed and direction with height, are shown in purple. High wind shear is hostile to mature tropical cyclones and those attempting to develop.)

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