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Polymarket, Election Betting Watch Trump Pass Harris


Polymarket, Election Betting Watch Trump Pass Harris

Topline Former President Donald Trump began rising on betting sites around 7:30 p.m. EST, turning a shrinking lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in the betting odds after the first major polls closed, while poll-based prediction models suggested the candidates were in a deadlock Conditions were hot heading into Election Day. Voters in Denver cast […]

Polymarket, election betting sites favor Trump over Harris


Polymarket, Election Betting Watch Trump Pass Harris

Topline With polls ending in just a few hours, betting markets are firmly in favor of former President Donald Trump securing a second term as president, even as poll-based prediction models suggest the candidates are in a dead heat. Betting markets are trending towards Trump as some polls end in less than 12 hours. VCG […]

Polymarket, election betting sites favor Trump over Harris


Polymarket, Election Betting Watch Trump Pass Harris

Topline With polls ending in just a few hours, betting markets are firmly in favor of former President Donald Trump securing a second term as president, even as poll-based prediction models suggest the candidates are in a dead heat. Betting markets are trending towards Trump as some polls end in less than 12 hours. VCG […]

Who will win the election? Leading Data Scientist Launches Election Counter That Shows Race Progress in Real-Time


Who will win the election? Leading Data Scientist Launches Election Counter That Shows Race Progress in Real-Time

For the past few weeks, I've been following presidential election predictions published by Thomas Miller, a data scientist at Northwestern University. Miller bases his predictions not on polls but on prices displayed on what he believes is America's most trusted political betting site, PredictIt. Since June 8, Miller has updated his forecast once a day. […]