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Opinion | One Democratic and one Republican pollster agree: This is the fault line that will decide the election


Opinion | One Democratic and one Republican pollster agree: This is the fault line that will decide the election

By Celinda Lake and Amanda IovinoGraphics by Quoctrung Bui Celinda Lake is president of Lake Research Partners and a pollster for the Democratic National Committee. Amanda Iovino is a pollster at WPA Intelligence and was the lead pollster for Glenn Youngkin's 2021 campaign for governor of Virginia. Oct 30, 2024 You've probably heard a lot […]

What past survey results can tell us about the 2024 election


What past survey results can tell us about the 2024 election

Note: Arrows show weighted national poll average margin compared to final statewide popular vote margin. Every cycle the polls differ to some extent from the election results. It's inevitable when pollsters can only give estimates about who will show up to vote, some people don't make their decision until they're in the voting booth, and […]