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Silver price falls 5%, gold price loses 3% as Trump wins election


Silver price falls 5%, gold price loses 3% as Trump wins election

After a decisive victory in the US presidential election, Donald Trump's return to the White House sent shockwaves across commodity markets, leading to significant declines in silver and gold. Precious metals, traditionally considered safe havens, fell sharply overnight as investors reassessed possible policy changes under the returning government.

Market reactions: precious metals fall

Silver fell about 5%, falling to a two-month low, as risk sentiment changed amid renewed optimism for traditional markets and potentially higher interest rates. Gold, another safe-haven asset, was not spared either, falling 3%. These declines are significant considering both metals have seen strong demand in recent months due to geopolitical uncertainties and fears of an economic downturn.

Gold-silver prices fall (Source: PR)

Market Reactions: Precious metals and general commodities slide

The decline in silver and gold is part of a broader commodity downturn as Trump's victory fuels expectations of pro-growth and pro-business policies. Other commodities have also fallen as risk sentiment increases and investors gravitate towards stocks and the dollar. Additionally, the 10-year US Treasury yield saw a significant increase today and was above recent averages as markets brace for possible fiscal and monetary changes. This increase in yields puts further pressure on non-yielding assets such as precious metals and increases the attractiveness of bonds compared to traditionally defensive investments.

Market Reactions: Decline in Precious Metals and Broader Commodities (Source: PR)

Key factors behind the decline

Several key factors are contributing to these significant declines in silver and gold:

  1. Interest rate concernsTrump's return has reignited speculation that the Federal Reserve will take a more aggressive stance. When higher interest rates are introduced to curb inflation and stimulate economic growth, demand for non-yielding assets such as gold and silver typically declines.

  2. Stronger dollar expectationsTrump's election is expected to strengthen the US dollar as economic strengthening measures take effect. Historically, a stronger dollar puts pressure on precious metals, making them more expensive for holders of other currencies.

  3. Stock market rallyStock markets have reacted positively to Trump's victory, with US stocks rising overnight. This optimism is steering investments away from gold and silver and toward stocks, which are often viewed as higher-yielding options in a bullish environment.

  4. Increasing willingness to take risksInvestor sentiment has shifted toward riskier assets as confidence grows in possible pro-business policies. This change has reduced demand for defensive assets and impacted the prices of both silver and gold.

Yield on 10-year US bonds after Trump's victory (Source: PR)

Future Impact and Market Prospects

The sharp decline in precious metal prices reflects the rapid market adjustments to the election outcome. While the short-term response is clear, the long-term outlook remains less certain. Analysts say that while metals could suffer further declines as pro-growth measures come to fruition, geopolitical factors and inflation concerns could still provide long-term support.

If inflation rises as a result of increased government spending, both silver and gold could see renewed demand as a protective hedge. Additionally, geopolitical tensions or unforeseen economic changes could quickly reverse the downward trend in precious metals, potentially restoring investor interest in safe havens.

Diploma

Trump's victory marks a potential turning point for the US economy and global markets, but its impact on precious metals could be complex. Investors will be watching the government's first 100 days closely for signs of economic policies that could further influence silver and gold prices.

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This article is for informational purposes only. The opinions and analyzes contained herein are those of the author and do not constitute financial advice. The Jerusalem Post (JPost.com) does not endorse or recommend any investment based on this information. Investors should consider their financial situation, investment objectives and risk tolerance before making decisions. It is recommended that you consult a qualified financial advisor. JPost.com is not liable for any investment losses resulting from the use of this information. The information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be considered trading or investment advice.




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