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Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees: Odds, Tips and Predictions


Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees: Odds, Tips and Predictions

The Baltimore Orioles (86-70) and New York Yankees (92-64) will face off on Tuesday when they enter a 3-game series in the Bronx. First pitch at Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET (TBS). Let's check out BetMGM Sportsbook's MLB odds around the Orioles vs Yankees Opportunities and place your best bets with our expert MLB tips and predictions.

Season series: Baltimore leads 6-4

The Orioles travel to the Bronx after a 2-4 home record. Baltimore has been jostling with New York at the top of the AL East standings for most of the season, but the Orioles have lost ground of late, going just 4-10 in their last 14 games.

The Yankees are back home after a 5-1 road trip. New York pitchers have had the edge lately; since September 11, the Yanks are 9-2 with a 2.18 ERA.

Expected starters for Orioles at Yankees

RHP Dean Kremer against RHP Clarke Schmidt

Kremer (7-10, 4.19 ERA) is making his 24th start. He has a WHIP of 1.25, with 3.5 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 124 2/3 IP.

  • Last appearance: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 7 K in a 5-3 home loss to San Francisco Giants on Wednesday
  • Career against the Yankees: 3-3, 4.63 ERA (56 1/3 IP, 29 ER), 1.37 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 in 11 starts

Schmidt (5-4, 2.37 ERA) is scheduled to make his 15th start. He has a WHIP of 1.17, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 76 IP.

  • Last appearance: Loss, 5 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 7 K in a 3-2 loss to the Seattle Mariners on Thursday
  • Career against Orioles: 3-3, 3.86 ERA (32 2/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.35 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 in 10 appearances (5 starts)

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Odds for Orioles vs Yankees

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; visit the USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds Hub for a complete list of MLB odds. Odds last updated at 10:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Orioles +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Yankees -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run Line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-155) | Yankees -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Tips and predictions for the Orioles vs Yankees game

forecast

Orioles 5, Yankees 4

Money line

Baltimore has finished its last five games at Yankee Stadium with a record of 4-1.

The Orioles' recent run production has been overshadowed by poor numbers on key at-bats. Schmidt returned from the 60-day IL (right latissimus injury) on September 7. He is not overused and threw 99 pitches in his last start. The risk of a 5-inning start for him is big enough to overwhelm a weak New York bullpen. And the Yankees' right-hander is starting after 4 days off; that has not been a good break for him in his career.

Kremer has had his struggles, but he will likely give Baltimore more length. And he has been solid in two of his last three starts. The Baltimore bullpen has been shaky lately (4.85 ERA in September), but some analysis does not support that weakness.

The value in this is on the PORIOLES (+135).

Running Line/Against the Spread

Better leverage can be found on the ML: HAPPEN.

Over/Under

In the last 10 meetings of the series at Yankee Stadium, the over is 7-2-1.

The expected ERA numbers show that Schmidt's ERA has likely been artificially dampened since his return. The Orioles are the likable side of this game — at least with the decent underdog odds — but Kremer has struggled against the Yankees in the past. New York batters have an overall OPS of .846 against him, according to ESPN, and he has a lackluster ERA of 5.23 in his last 31 innings on the road.

FanDuel Sportsbook has a budget line here: TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-102).

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