Donald Trump has provisionally won the 2024 presidential election after Fox News and Decision Desk HQ predicted he would win Pennsylvania, blocking Vice President Kamala Harris' path to victory.

Trump would also be on track to do something a Republican candidate hasn't managed in 20 years – win popularity.

When was the last time a Republican won the popular vote?

Trump would win not only the Electoral College but also the popular vote – the first time a Republican has done so since President George W. Bush won re-election in 2004, defeating Democratic challenger John Kerry. Bush won around three million more votes than Kerry while also receiving 286 votes in the Electoral College.

In subsequent elections, Democrats won the majority vote, even as Donald Trump won the Electoral College in 2016, defeating Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton.

Donald Trump election 2024
Republican presidential candidate former U.S. President Donald Trump arrives for a campaign rally at Lancaster Airport in Lititz, Pennsylvania, on November 3, 2024.

Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

Bush also won his first election by winning the Electoral College while losing the popular vote, making his 2004 popular vote victory an outlier. President Bill Clinton won a majority of votes in each of his election bids.

President George HW Bush won the popular vote in 1988 by a margin of nearly eight million votes over Democratic nominee Michael Dukakis.

Which candidate has the majority of votes?

As of 1:30 a.m. ET on November 6, Trump was ahead of Harris by about 4.9 million votes. The outstanding votes in the remaining states make it unlikely — if not impossible — that Harris will overtake Trump in the popular vote, even if she were to win all the remaining votes.

Who won the 2020 popular vote?

President Joe Biden won the popular vote by about seven million votes, the most votes ever received by a presidential candidate. Trump has also amassed more than any other presidential candidate, adding to his frustration over not winning the election.