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The Seven Presidential Battlegrounds – 270toWin


The Seven Presidential Battlegrounds – 270toWin

Seven states – which will hold 93 electoral votes in 2024 – have seemingly dominated this presidential election cycle from the start. In the final consensus electoral map, six of these seven states remain contested.

The polls were also largely consistent, with none of these seven states showing a gap of more than 2% between the candidates. However, keep in mind that survey errors are often correlated with each other. Given that all of these states are within normal polling error, it's entirely possible that Harris or Trump could end up winning most or all of them.

On this page you will find live results for these contested states. We've divided them into three geographic groups, which – conveniently – also closely correspond to when polls close in those states. For more results, see the Live Electoral College Map >.

All times Eastern (ET). If states span multiple time zones, no winner will be predicted until all polls close. Vote counts and race forecasts provided by Decision Desk HQ.

Sunbelt – East

Georgia – 16 electoral votes





Consensus ranking Survey average
Toss up Trump 48.7%, Harris 47.5% (R + 1.2%)

Polls close at 7:00 p.m. ET.

North Carolina – 16 electoral votes





Consensus ranking Survey average
Toss up Trump 48.6%, Harris 47.3% (R + 1.3%)

Polls close at 7:30 p.m. ET.

Rust Belt

Pennsylvania – 19 electoral votes





Consensus ranking Survey average
Toss up Trump 48.2%, Harris 48.2% (TIE)

Polls close at 8:00 p.m. ET.

Michigan – 15 electoral votes





Consensus ranking Survey average
Toss up Harris 48.6%, Trump 46.8% (D + 1.8%)

Polls close at 8:00 p.m. ET, with the exception of 9:00 p.m. ET for a portion of the Upper Peninsula where Central Time applies.

Wisconsin – 10 electoral votes





Consensus ranking Survey average
Toss up Harris 48.8%, Trump 47.7% (D + 1.1%)

Polls close at 9:00 p.m. ET.

Sunbelt – West

Arizona – 11 electoral votes





Consensus ranking Survey average
Rejects Trump Trump 48.5%, Harris 46.8% (R + 1.7%)

Polls close at 9:00 p.m. ET.

Nevada – 6 electoral votes





Consensus ranking Survey average
Toss up Trump 48.2%, Harris 47.6% (R + 0.6%)

Polls close at 10:00 p.m. ET.

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