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Warm October gives way to cooler November


Warm October gives way to cooler November

No sun, no moon, no morning, no noon. November! – Thomas Hood

English poet Thomas Hood nailed it when it comes to November weather in Minnesota.

My least favorite month in Minnesota is, on average, our cloudiest month of the year. Minnesota November Gray would probably be Ralph Lauren's slowest selling paint color.

Here are some November stats:

  • 39 percent: average possible sunshine in November.

  • 50 degrees: Twin Cities: Normal high temperatures on November 1st

  • 35 degrees: Twin Cities: Normal high temperatures on November 30th.

  • 6.8 inches: Average snowfall in the Twin Cities in November.

On the bright side, as we move out the winter months in Minnesota, it will be sunnier on average.

Warm October

As we wait for the final official climate summary for October, it looks like we've reached the fifth warmest October on record in the Twin Cities. In Minneapolis-St. Temperatures were an astonishing 7.9 degrees warmer than normal. Paul International Airport last month.

Combine that with the warmest September on record, and we're on track to experience the warmest meteorological fall on record.

November will decide where we end up. So far, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's forecasts are slightly pointing to a warmer than normal November:

NOAA Monthly Temperature Outlook

Monthly temperature outlook for November

NOAA

Showers are coming

Most of Minnesota will be dry Saturday. A series of weak weather conditions will then bring isolated showers between Saturday night and Tuesday.

Here's another look at the Global Forecast System model:

Warm October gives way to cooler November

Global Forecast System model between 7 a.m. Sunday and 7 a.m. Tuesday

NOAA, via Tropical Tidbits

By the middle of next week, southeastern Minnesota will see the heaviest rainfall:

Rainfall according to the European model (ECMWF).

Precipitation forecast until Tuesday

European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, via Pivotal Weather

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