Mateusz Rebecki against Myktybek Orolbai

UFC 308

Eithad Arena in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Saturday, October 26, 2024

Mateusz Rebecki will face Myktybek Orolbai at UFC 308 on Saturday, October 26, 2024. The opening odds for Rebecki are +250, while Orolbai is at -310.

Mateusz Rebecki has a mark of 19-2-0. The 31-year-old will fight at 155 pounds and is 5-foot-7. The southpaw has a wingspan of 66 inches. Myktybek Orolbai is 5'10″ tall and will fight at 155 pounds. The orthodox fighter enters the cage with a mark of 13-1-1. The 26-year-old is 74″ tall. When it comes to significant hits, Mateusz Rebecki scores 4.69 hits per minute while Myktybek Orolbai scores 3.02 significant hits per minute. Rebecki scores on 48% of the key shots he attempts, while Orolbai scores on 52%. When it comes to defense in the cage, Rebecki allows 4.15 significant strikes per minute and Orolbai absorbs 2.56. Rebecki also defends 54% of the significant shots thrown his way, while Orolbai blocks 47% of the shots thrown his way.

When it comes to grappling, Mateusz Rebecki is not that efficient of a wrestler, as he averages a takedown 4.12 times per period. Rebecki brings his opponent to the mat on 75% of his attempts and thwarts 33% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Orolbai scores takedowns on 44% of his takedown attempts and defends 50% of the attempts against him. In terms of submission attempts, Rebecki is the more skilled fighter, attempting 1.0 submissions per 3 rounds, while Orolbai attempts 0.6 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his last fight, Mateusz Rebecki faced Diego Ferreira and was defeated in round 3 by blows to the head from the riding position. In the end, Ferreira landed 151 of the 272 total punches he fired in the fight. Rebecki finished this fight with 60 of 146 total punches. In terms of significant hits, Ferreira ended up with 123 of 241, which corresponds to a rate of 51%. He landed 94 of 189 significant punches to the head. Regarding the opponent's statistics, Rebecki landed 37% of his significant punches by landing 52 of 137. Of these significant blows, 34 of 109 were aimed at the head. 76% of Ferreira's significant hits and 88% of Rebecki's were from distance.

In Myktybek Orolbai's last Octagon appearance, he faced Elves Brener and won via unanimous decision in round 3. Brener ended up scoring 72% of the decisive shots he attempted from distance, while Orolbai ended up hitting 49%. from the significant punches he attempted from a distance. Orolbai landed 54% of his significant strike attempts by connecting on 65 of 119. He landed 52 of 103 significant strikes that were to the head. Brener scored 48 of 91 significant hits in this battle. Of all the significant goals, he scored 24 of 61 with his head. As for the shots he fired in the contest, Brener ended up landing 79 of 125, while Orolbai scored 83 of 138 of all the shots he attempted.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another fight not to be missed is Said Nurmagomedov vs Daniel Santos. Nurmagomedov comes into this fight with a record of 18-3-0. The 32-year-old weighs 135 pounds and is 1.77 meters tall. The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 70 inches. Santos stands 5'7″ and weighs 135 pounds. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 12-2-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 67″. In grappling, Said Nurmagomedov averages takedowns 1.01 times per 3 rounds, while Daniel Santos takes his opponents to the canvas 1.90 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Nurmagomedov averages 3.55 strikes per minute and connects on 47% of the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Daniel Santos, who hits the opponent on 37% of his punches and lands 4.26 per minute.

Another fight to watch is the duel between Brunno Ferreira and Abus Magomedov. Magomedov will look to add a win to his career record of 26-6-1. The 34-year-old fights at 185 pounds and is 1.90 meters tall. The Orthodox fighter stands 78 inches tall. Ferreira stands 5'10″ and will fight at 185 pounds. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 12-1-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 72″. In grappling, Abus Magomedov prevents 85% of his opponents' takedown attempts and completes his takedown attempts in 77% of his attempts. Ferreira defeats his opponents on 16% of his attempts and is able to thwart 60% of his opponents' takedowns. When striking, Magomedov averages 3.73 punches per minute while landing 2.88 punches per minute. Ferreira, on the other hand, takes 4.04 punches per minute and lands 4.99 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's choice: Take Mateusz Rebecki (+250)

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