• RB Derrick Henry, Baltimore Ravens: Henry has a good chance against an opponent like Dallas' rush defense, which ranks last in the NFL in EPA allowed per rush play and 30th in success rate allowed.

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Estimated reading time: 3 minutes

RB Derrick Henry, Baltimore Ravens

Henry has been a force in the red zone for years and started the season strong, scoring a rushing touchdown in each of his first two games.

Next up is a favorable matchup against Dallas' rush defense, which ranks last in the NFL in EPA allowed per rush play and 30th in success rate allowed.

While the price is high, the 48 point total and the ideal matchup make it likely that Henry will reach the end zone again against Dallas.

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RB Kyren Williams, Los Angeles Rams

The Rams offense struggled early this season, with injuries plaguing both the offensive line and wide receivers.

Despite these setbacks, they managed to put together some solid offenses and now face a 49ers defense that ranks in the middle of the pack in most efficiency metrics.

Williams, who leads the team in red zone scoring, benefits from McVay's long-standing reliance on running backs in short-yardage situations. At +115, his strong commitment near the goal line is too valuable to overlook as a safe bet for another Rams strike.

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RB David Montgomery, Detroit Lions

The Cardinals' defense has always struggled to stop the run, ranking second to last in run success rate allowed and near the bottom in EPA per run allowed over the last few seasons.

The Lions offense has had its struggles this season, largely due to issues in the red zone, where they posted the fourth-lowest touchdown rate. However, this offense is too talented to sustain such a low level of success in the red zone, and a decline is likely.

When the Lions reach the 5-yard line, their running back will be Montgomery, who has had 67% of the touches so far this season. With plus odds and a high-scoring game, expect the Lions to take advantage of the Cardinals' run defense and find the end zone through Montgomery.

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