2025 NFL Draft Order Predictions: Patriots, Panthers at the top

The 2024 NFL season is only seven weeks old, but it's never too early to start thinking about the 2025 draft, which begins April 24 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. Let's take a look at the projected first-round draft order for all 32 teams using ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI).

Each week during the season, FPI projects the draft order by simulating the remainder of the season 20,000 times. Game probabilities are based largely on the model's ratings for individual teams and game locations. The order is based on the records the model assumes the teams will have after 17 games and each team's average draft position in the simulations.

Our FPI predictions still give the New England Patriots the best chance of securing the No. 1 pick after Week 7, but there are more shifts at the top of the standings. Who is in the top 10 now? Check out our full predictions below and check back every Tuesday throughout the season for updates.

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Average draft position: 2.6
FPI chance of getting the No. 1 pick: 42.6%
FPI chance of getting a top five selection: 89.9%
FPI chance of getting a top 10 pick: 98.6%

Average draft position: 3.3
FPI chance of getting the No. 1 pick: 27.5%
FPI chance of getting a top five selection: 83.4%
FPI chance of getting a top 10 pick: 97.5%

Average draft position: 6.7
FPI chance of getting the No. 1 pick: 7.0%
FPI chance of getting a top five selection: 48.9%
FPI chance of getting a top 10 pick: 82.5%

Average draft position: 6.9
FPI chance of getting the No. 1 pick: 6.0%
FPI chance of getting a top five selection: 47.9%
FPI chance of getting a top 10 pick: 82.1%

Average draft position: 7.1
FPI chance of getting the No. 1 pick: 4.9%
FPI chance of getting a top five selection: 44.0%
FPI chance of getting a top 10 pick: 81.2%

Average draft position: 7.1
FPI chance of getting the No. 1 pick: 3.8%
FPI chance of getting a top five selection: 43.8%
FPI chance of getting a top 10 pick: 80.7%

Average draft position: 7.3
FPI chance of getting the No. 1 pick: 3.4%
FPI chance of getting a top five selection: 39.5%
FPI chance of getting a top 10 pick: 78.7%

Average draft position: 8.3
FPI chance of getting the No. 1 pick: 2.6%
FPI chance of getting a top five selection: 34.2%
FPI chance of getting a top 10 pick: 73.9%

Average draft position: 10.9
FPI chance of getting the No. 1 pick: 0.7%
FPI chance of getting a top five selection: 15.7%
FPI chance of getting a top 10 pick: 51.1%

Average draft position: 12.1
FPI chance of getting the No. 1 pick: 0.6%
FPI chance of getting a top five selection: 12.6%
FPI chance of getting a top 10 pick: 42.4%